نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دکتری مدیریت ورزشی، پردیس فارابی، دانشگاه تهران، ایران
2 استادیار گروه مدیریت ورزشی، دانشکده تربیت بدنی و علوم ورزشی، دانشگاه تهران، ایران
3 کارشناسی ارشد، مدیریت ورزشی، دانشگاه پیام نور، واحد کرج، ایران
چکیده
همه‌گیری کووید-19 تمامی صنایع را تحت تأثیر و رکود قرار داد. نحوة مواجهه در این دوران و تأثیرات میان‌مدت و بلندمدت آن تمام صنایع اعم از ورزش را مورد چالش بزرگ قرار داده است. تحقیق حاضر بر آن است مدلی پویامحور از دوران پساکرونا برحسب آشوبناکی سیستم صنعت ورزش ارائه دهد. روش تحقیق حاضر دلفی است که به‌صورت کیفی در چهار دور انجام پذیرفت. نمونه‌گیری تحقیق به‌صورت هدفمند انجام پذیرفت. در این تحقیق از خبرگان مدیریت ورزشی و خبرگان روان‌سنجی به‌عنوان نمونة مورد هدف استفاده شد. برای بررسی کفایت روش تحقیق از چهار متخصص به‌عنوان نمونة موازی به‌منظور تضمین کیفیت تحقیق استفاده شد. برای تحلیل داده از نرم‌افزار Vensim.PLE و Checkmate استفاده شد. نتایج تحقیق در دور میزان توافق خبرگان بر وضع آشوبناکی در هفت گزارة اصلی به‌عنوان نقاط دارای آشوب و بی‌نظمی نشان داد. در دور دوم، نقاط دارای خودمانایی و تعاملات بین گزاره‌ها گزارش شد. در دور سوم، میزان وضعیت آتی صنعت ورزش برحسب گزاره‌های اصلی و فرعی به‌دست‌آمده در دوران پساکرونا، برحسب ماتریس راهبرد اصلی تعیین شد. نوع راهبرد‌های مورد نیاز برحسب مکان جای‌گیری هر گزاره در ماتریس تعیین شد. در نهایت، مدل سیستم پویا صنعت ورزش کشور برای دوران پساکرونا ترسیم شد. به‌طور کلی، اجرای چنین سیستمی نیاز اساسی دوران پساکروناست و از این طریق می‌توان چرخة بازخورد سیستم را تشخیص داد تا در بی‌نظمی و آشوب موجود در صنعت ورزش کشور به نظم رسید.
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
Providing a model of the dynamic system of Iran's sports industry for the post-Corona era with a chaotic theory approach
نویسندگان [English]
- Mohammad Heydari 1
- Ehsan Mohamadi Turkmani 2
- Majid Javid 1
- Mohammad Bayat 3
1 Ph.D. of Sports Management, Farabi Campus, University of Tehran, Iran
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Sports Management, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, University of Tehran, Iran
3 M.Sc., Sports Management, Payame Noor University, Karaj Branch, Iran
چکیده [English]
The Covid-19 pandemic affected and stagnated all industries. How to deal with this period and its medium and long-term effects has greatly challenged all industries, including sports. The present study aims to provide a dynamic model of the post-corona era in terms of the chaos theory in the sports industry system. The method of study is Delphi, which was performed qualitatively in four rounds. Sampling of the study was Purposive sampling. In this study, sports management experts and psychometric experts were used as the target sample. To evaluate the adequacy of the research method, four experts were used as parallel samples to ensure the quality of the research. Vensim.PLE and Checkmate software were used for data analysis. The results of the research in the first round showed the degree of agreement of experts on the chaotic situation in the seven main statements as points of chaos and disorder. In the second round, points of familiarity and interactions between propositions were reported. In the third round, the future state of the sports industry was determined according to the main and sub-propositions obtained in the post-crown period, according to the main strategy matrix. The strategies required was determined by Grand matrix. Finally, the model of the dynamic system of the country's sports industry for the post-Corona era was drawn. In general, the implementation of such a system is a basic need of the post-corona era, and through it, the feedback cycle of the system can be identified in order to achieve order in the chaos and turmoil in the country's sports industry.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
- Covid-19 pandemic
- chaos theory
- dynamic system
- sports industry
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