نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشگاه گیلان

2 پردیس بین الملل دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد

چکیده

ابعاد کلان توسعه و متغیرهای جغرافیایی از عواملی‌اند که می‌توانند روند توسعه‌یافتگی استان‌ها و در نتیجه توسعه‌یافتگی ورزش قهرمانی را تحت تأثیر قرار دهند. بنابراین، هدف این مطالعه تعیین میزان اثرگذاری ابعاد و شاخص‌های توسعۀ ملی و متغیرهای اقلیمی-جغرافیایی جهت ارائۀ مدل توسعۀ ورزش قهرمانی استان‌های کشور بود. جامعه و نمونۀ آماری براساس تقسیمات کشوری سال 1390، شامل 30 استان بود. این پژوهش از نوع توصیفی- تحلیلی و تکنیک جمع‌آوری داده‌های آن کتابخانه‌ای است که با استفاده از 39 شاخص توسعۀ ملی، 5 متغیر جغرافیایی و 48 شاخص ورزشی سطح توسعه‌یافتگی استان‌های ایران و اثرگذاری ابعاد کلان توسعه و برخی از متغیرهای جغرافیایی بر توسعۀ ورزش قهرمانی از سال 1385 تا 1390بررسی شده است. در این پژوهش، از روش‌های آماری استاندارد کردن، تحلیل عاملی و رگرسیون پنل برای تحلیل داده‌ها استفاده شد. تحلیل مدل‌های پیشنهادی نشان داد بیشترین ضریب اثرگذاری در مدل مربوط به ابعاد کلان توسعه به ترتیب به توسعۀ فرهنگی (192/0=β) و توسعۀ اجتماعی (155/0=β) و در مدل متغیرهای جغرافیایی به مساحت استان (160/1-=β) و متوسط سالانۀ بارش (067/0-=β) تعلق داشت. از میزان اثرگذاری هر یک از عوامل و شاخص‌های توسعه، می‌توان برای تدوین برنامه‌های توسعۀ بلندمدت، میان‌مدت و تعیین اولویت تخصیص منابع استفاده کرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

The Study of Factors Influencing Championship Development in Provinces of Iran and Designing a Proposed Model

نویسنده [English]

  • mina mallaei 1

1

2

چکیده [English]

The macro dimensions of the development and the geographical variables are those factors which can affect the procedure of development in provinces and consequently the championship development. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine the effect size of the national development indexes and dimensions and geographical-climatic variables in order to design a model for developing championship in the provinces of the country. The population and the sample included 30 provinces according to the Iran administrative divisions in 2011. The present study was descriptive-analytic and the data were collected using the library. The development level of the provinces in Iran, and the effect of macro dimensions of the development and some geographical variables on the championship development between 2006 and 2011 were investigated using 39 national development indexes, 5 geographical variables, and 48 sport indexes. The statistical methods involving standardization, factor analysis, and panel regression were used to analyze the data. The analysis of the proposed models showed that the most important impact factors in the model related to the macro dimensions of the development were cultural development (β=0.192) and social development (β=0.155); in geographical variables model, these impact factors were the area of the province (β= -1.160), the average annual precipitation (β= -0.067). The effect size of each development index and factor can be used to design long-term and mid-term development plans, and to determine the priority of resource allocation.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • championship
  • cultural development
  • Economic Development
  • geographic variables
  • social development
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