پیش‌بینی تعداد مدال‌های ایران در بازی‌های آسیایی 2022 هانگژو با استفاده از سری زمانی

محبی, فرشته; سجادی, سید نصراله; جعفری حجین, افسر

doi:10.22059/jsm.2019.267668.2168

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

گروه مدیریت ورزشی، دانشکدۀ تربیت بدنی و علوم ورزشی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران

10.22059/jsm.2019.267668.2168

چکیده

مقدمه: با توجه به اهمیت بازی‌های آسیایی، هدف از این پژوهش پیش‌بینی تعداد مدال‌های ایران در بازی‌های آسیایی 2022 هانگژو با استفاده از سری زمانی است.
روش پژوهش: روش پژوهش تحقیق توصیفی – تحلیلی و نوع پژوهش کاربردی است. جامعۀ آماری تحقیق شامل مدال‌های کسب‌شده توسط ایرانیان از اولین دوره (1951 دهلی‌نو) تا آخر هجدهمین دورۀ بازی‌های آسیایی (2018 جاکارتا) است که به‌دلیل محدودیت جامعۀ آماری، جامعه و نمونه در این تحقیق برابر است. گردآوری اطلاعات به‌صورت کتابخانه‌ای صورت گرفت. با استفاده از منابع کتابخانه‌ای شامل کتاب، پایان‌نامه، مقالات داخلی و خارجی و همچنین سایت‌های اینترنتی، به مرور منابع در زمینۀ پیش‌بینی نتایج ورزشی پرداخته شد. برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل داده‌ها از آمار توصیفی برای ترسیم جداول و نمودارها و برای پیش‌بینی بازی آسیایی آینده از روش آماری سری زمانی استفاده شد.
یافته‌ها: توجه به تحلیل‌های سری زمانی نتایج تحقیق نشان داد که ایران در بازی‌های آسیایی 2022 هانگژو 58 مدال خواهد گرفت.
نتیجه‌گیری: مدیران و تصمیم‌گیران ورزشی باید روی رشته‌های برتر مانند کشتی، وزنه‌برداری، رشته‌های غیرفعال و رشته‌های ورزشی زنان سرمایه‌گذاری کنند تا ایران در بازی‌های آسیایی آینده به مدال‌های بیشتری دست یابد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

مدیریت ورزشی

عنوان مقاله [English]

Predicting the Number of Iran’s Medals in the 2022 Hangzhou Asian Games by Using the Time Series

نویسندگان [English]

Fereshteh Mohebbi
Seyed Nasrollah Sajadi
Afsar Jafari

Department of Sport Managment, Faculty of Physical Education and Sport Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran

چکیده [English]

Introduction: Considering the importance of the Asian Games, the purpose of this research was to predict the number of medals Iran will win in the 2022 Asian Games in Hangzhou using time series.
Methods: The research method is descriptive analytical and the type of research is applied. The statistical population of the study included the medals that acquired by Iranian from the first course (New Delhi-1951) to eighteenth course (Jakarta -2018) of Asian games. The collection of information was carried out in the form of library that includes books, magazine, journal, Iranian and foreign journal, net and site, with this sources we predicted the result of the sport. In order to test and analyze the data in this research, a descriptive statistic was used to draw tables and charts to predict the medals of Asian games in Hangzhou by 2022 by using the time series statistic.
Results: The result of this study with time series statistics showed that Iran in Hangzhou 2022 Asian games will receive fifty-eight medals and will be in the seventh place in Hangzhou 2022 Asian games.
Conclusion: Sports managers and decision-makers should invest in top disciplines such as: wrestling, weightlifting, non-active disciplines and women's sports disciplines, so that Iran can win more medals in the upcoming Asian Games.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Asian Games
Decision
Medal
Predict
Time Series

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نشریه مدیریت ورزشی

پیش‌بینی تعداد مدال‌های ایران در بازی‌های آسیایی 2022 هانگژو با استفاده از سری زمانی

مراجع

مراجع

دوره 16، شماره 3
مهر 1403
صفحه 19-1

پیش‌بینی تعداد مدال‌های ایران در بازی‌های آسیایی 2022 هانگژو با استفاده از سری زمانی

مراجع

مراجع

دوره 16، شماره 3مهر 1403صفحه 19-1

دوره 16، شماره 3
مهر 1403
صفحه 19-1